- Risk of a housing market slowdown due to decelerating home values/pricing is buffered by our US Housing market, which has a healthy forecast in 2020 and is likely to resist typical cycle dynamics – low interest rates, higher employment and confidence, better financial status.
- Over 60% of US housing is moderate single-family construction, which is generally influenced by local or regional demand, rather than international markets. Some ultra-high-end condo purchasing in leading urban areas may be impacted by global markets, but these make up a significant minority of current housing projects.
- Residential investment – new construction of single and multi-family homes – only averages about 3-5% of GDP in the US, creating less of a concern regarding global GDP issues.
- Price deceleration is actually a good development, which should open up more access to the segment of the US population who looks for more affordable homes – representing the largest buying segment and offering plenty of demand for builders.
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